Are short-lived jobs stepping stones to long-lasting jobs? /
Contributor(s): Picchio, MatteoSeries: Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA). Discussion paper seriesPublisher: Munich, Germany Institute for the Study of Labor 2009Description: PDFOther title: Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA). Discussion paperSubject(s): Casual Labour | Youth Employment - Europe | Employment Statistics - Oecd | Employment Forecasting Belgium | Labour Market Europe | School Leavers Oecd | Training | Statistical Analysis | School Work Transition | Institute For The Study Of Labor (iza) | Employment/unemploymentOnline Resources: Electronic copy
INTO AND OUT OF WORK SCHOOL TO WORK
This paper assesses whether short-lived jobs (lasting one quarter or less and involuntarily ending in unemployment) are stepping stones to long-lasting jobs (enduring one year or more) for Belgian long-term unemployed school-leavers. We proceed in two steps. First, we estimate labour market trajectories in a multi-spell duration model that incorporates lagged duration and lagged occurrence dependence. Second, in a simulation we find that (fe)male school-leavers accepting a short-lived job are, within two years, 13.4 (9.5) percentage points more likely to find a long-lasting job than in the counterfactual in which they reject short-lived jobs.
Are Short-Lived Jobs Stepping Stones.pdf